Thursday, October 1, 2009
S&P Reports On The State of the Housing Market

One of the founders of what has really become the industry’s (and media’s) bible for real estate statistics and forecasts, S&P Case Shiller, recently participated in a Q&A about the state of the housing market. Robert Shiller, a Yale University economist, discussed the housing market and the implications of lower interest rates. I found it quite conservative yet insightful and in my opinion, on target with what is going on in today’s market.


That is why for this edition of Weekly Market Watch, I am going to provide you with an excerpt from his interview:


Is the slump in U.S. home prices bottoming out?

Shiller: The situation has definitely changed. With our numbers — the S&P/Case Shiller home price index — going up sharply. It looks like a major turnaround. We’ve been watching that for three months now, and we have some concern that it could be an aberration and temporary. But, at this point, it seems to be evident in just about every city in the U.S. That suggests it’s real. But it probably isn’t the beginning of a major boom, just because the economy is in such bad shape. There’s also a chance that it will reverse. It’s still only three months old, so it’s very hard to be sure at this point. The most likely scenario is that it won’t continue at this high rate of increase, but that it will neither go down a lot, nor up a lot.

So the index will move sideways for a while?

Shiller: Yes, for a while, meaning five years.

What are the main factors driving U.S. house prices? What could push them up, or cause another slump?

Shiller: The main factor is the world economic crisis and the efforts of governments around the world to stimulate the economy. Parts of those efforts have been directed at the housing market. In the U.S., there is an 8,000 dollar first-time home buyer’s tax credit which expires at the end of November. That’s a reason for concern, as it comes to an end. Also, the Federal Reserve has a plan to buy $1.25 trillion worth of mortgage-backed securities to support the housing market. They are most of the way through the program and anticipate phasing it out at some time in 2010 - that’s another thing that will go away. We’ve yet to see how the housing market will continue. Part of the problem is that people are buying now rather than later. When later comes, there could be a downturn in the market.

Is there an oversupply of houses in the U.S.?

Shiller: That’s been a problem. The inventory of unsold houses has been high, but has come down a bit. On top of that, there will be more foreclosures, more homes are going to be dumped on the market as people default. Now, that may show down as home prices will start going up again. But I suspect that this isn’t going to happen. Also, banks have more REO, or real estate owned, that they’re holding on to for the time being. But eventually those REOs are going to be dumped on the market. So that’s why it doesn’t look particularly encouraging from a supply consideration.

Turning to interest rates, which are at exceptionally low levels: Is there a risk that this eventually will cause irrational exuberance?

Shiller: There is always a risk of that. Those things are hard to predict. However it seems like the present time is least conducive to bubbles of any time. We’re in what some people call “pretend-and-extend” economy, which means that banks that have commercial loans are often extending those loans and pretending that the property is worth something. That’s because they don’t face reality. This kind of economy isn’t really suited to a beginning of a real bubble. Now, everything could change… It’s surprising how strong the residential, single-family home market looks right now. It makes me think that it’s hard to predict animal spirits.

How long can central banks afford to keep expansive policies in place?

Shiller: In principle we can keep this in place for a long time. That’s what Japan did… But confidence is definitely coming back. The depression scare is over at the moment. So it would be plausible that central banks could be raising interest rates — both in the U.S. and Europe — [as early as next year]. But I just have a worry that this isn’t going to happen and that it’s not going to be so easy to extricate [themselves from the low-rate environment].

Will the sharp increase in global debt levels drive up inflation over the medium to long-term?

Shiller: My best guess is that we won’t have inflation, that central banks will pull it back as inflation starts to begin. But I think that there’s a chance of it; people have to be defensive in their investments. It always amazes me that people are so trusting and that they want nominal debt as much as they do… So a good long-term strategy is to invest a good part of one’s portfolio in inflation-indexed bonds, even though it doesn’t particularly look like the time to worry about inflation right now.

I tend to agree with Shiller on many of his statements, specifically that we are probably in the midst of a turnaround. Having said that, it is important to point out that this isn’t going to be a sharp “V” recovery with a sudden jump in prices or units. In all probability what we will see is a long “L” shaped broad recovery in which prices are relatively stagnant for some time before eventually inching up.

Now, let’s take a look at this week in real estate:

Boulder/Longmont—The Boulder office reported the biggest change in the Boulder County market over the past week was the big jump in showings for our office, up 18%. Listings and sales showed smaller changes, up 6% for listings, down 12% for sales. Increased showings seem to be the result of lower interest rates and Agents report more activity as first time buyers fear that the clock may run out on the $8000 incentive. The Longmont office reports showing activity is slowing just a bit. First time buyers and those in the lower price ranges are the main shoppers. Listings under $250,000 are being shown and sold. Right now, with the final push for the $8000 credit, any home under $250,000 that is NOT a short sales is snapped right up! Investors know that this is the time to buy. They are fine with the down payment. The rental market is strong. Now is the time to start your "Property Ladder"!

Evergreen/Conifer—Evergreen reported we had eight new listings for the week. Two listings went under contract including one single family home on the market for three years and one single family home from a floor call, both local buyers. Two buyers put under contract in the last week, one out of state buyer from MD and one local buyer purchase of single family home in Parker, a mid $200,000 property on the market for less than a week. There were 69 showings plus ten agent previews during the week. Conifer reported there were no new listings during the week. No listings went under contract and no buyers were put under contract. Our showing activity increased to thirty-four during the week.

Denver Central– There has been an increase in first time home buyers looking for properties and wanting to take advantage of the $8000 tax credit. With the deadline fast approaching and the possibility of an extension not occurring buyers are going to have to select a property within the next 30 days in order to close in time. The Denver real estate market continues to get positive national and local press on a weekly basis. We're very encouraged and excited about the future of real estate in Denver.

Devonshire— Now that our few days of cold, wet weather are over, we're excited about a good open house weekend. Our September was a little quiet as it usually is but October in the Devonshire office is always a busy month. Sellers are anxious to show their homes with fall decorations and turning leaves. Buyers this year are busy getting homes under contract and closed prior to the end of November. We're advising all buyers and sellers to close no later than November 15th if possible due to the rush to get homes closed by the 30th and it'll cause title and mortgage companies to be overloaded. Also, the 30th is the day after Thanksgiving holiday weekend and that in itself may cause backlogs and stress. We're excited to see the activity and energy that fall brings.

Douglas County—Our Southwest Metro office reports showings have been down the past three weeks especially this past weekend. Open houses were good and our Agents did acquire some good leads. Our Agents do have sellers gearing up to list their homes and do have buyers starting to become worried about the deadline for the $8000 credit. We feel that the public is in a holding pattern. They are waiting, especially buyers, to see if the $8000 credit will be extended or increased. We did have one Agent who had three of their listings go under contract in a week, one in 24 hours! We've had some great floor calls and also two walk-ins. Interest rates are good and we're seeing some buyers ready to start the process just in case the tax credit program is not extended.

El Paso County—Colorado Springs reports the listing inventory is still very steady, however buyer activity increased drastically last week. This could be an indication that more first time buyers are getting very motivated in order to take advantage of the tax credit which will expire on November 30th. For the same reason, we see a number of multiple offers on energy priced listings that are not short sales! We received twelve (!) offers on one bank owned listing!

Larimer County— New listings are up in both the Fort Collins and Loveland offices and the showing activity is also up from last week. Homes that went under contract this last week were listed as high as $637,000 down to $110,000 with most of the home sales in the mid-$200,000 range. There were also several homes priced in the $300,000 to $400,000 range. There are some great homes available and FHA rates are still at or near all time lows! More great news - There are still 70+ days to take advantage of the $8000 tax credit, but time is slipping away quickly. Realistically speaking, you need to be out looking at homes today if you hope to close prior to the November 30th deadline. You don't want to be closing at the end of November & risk having your closing pushed back past the deadline. Get out there and find your dream home at a great price and don't miss out on the $8000 tax credit!

North Metro— Overall business continues to be steady for the month of September. Listing inventories are decreasing as we move into the late summer. Buyers are continuing to take advantage of the buyer program and as a result we're seeing a lot of activity at the $100,000 to $225,000 part of the market. Average prices are edging up and we feel that this will stimulate the listing side of the business.

Parker— After a slowdown during August and early September, activity is picking up again. First time buyers are now very motivated to get under contract in order to close before November 30th to be able to take advantage of the $8000 tax credit. Power priced listings are still getting a lot of activity, multiple offers & some sell over asking price.

Southeast Metro— Showing activity has increased and we're back to 500 plus per week. Listing inventory is steadily decreasing and the number of new listings in the market is also on the decline. However, sales activity is busier than ever! We're scheduled to close over 150 properties this month, which is not our typical September. The luxury market continues to be sluggish, however homes in the $700,000 range are seeing more activity than the previous month.

West Lakewood— Appraisal problems still exist. An appraisal came in yesterday $55,000 below contract price. Anything under $250,000 is almost flying off the shelf on the west side of town. More $300,000 and up listings are selling. Buyers and sellers are calling our office for more information regarding current listings and to list their homes with Coldwell Banker.

Without a doubt, locally what continues to push our market in the right direction is the $8,000 first time home buyer tax credit. Currently in Washington D.C., real estate industry representatives and government officials are lobbying for either a $15,000 all home buyer tax credit or at minimum, an extension of the $8,000 first time home buyer tax credit but the result of that debate is still in the air. If the tax credit does disappear we are likely going to see an emergence of investors in the first time home buyer arena which may cause problems with housing prices and a continued erosion of the first time home buyer market. Please contact your local representative to call upon his/her support of this important initiative.


Next week I will release the October edition of Reality Check. This month’s edition will feature a Q&A from me on the local housing market and what we may expect for 2010.


Until then,
Make it a great week,


Chris Mygatt
Coldwell Banker Residential Brokerage Colorado

Friday, August 28, 2009
So Much for a Sleepy Summer

Generally speaking the Colorado real estate market has seen a bit of a bounce this summer with sales increasing in all categories—from the entry level homes and condos to the high-end market.

National figures showed June with an 11% increase in home sales. But, realizing that a majority of the spring home inventory has been introduced, we may start to see a little slowdown in August/September as old inventory is taken off the market and a smaller surge of inventory arrives.

In other words, there is still much recovery that needs to be taking place. Sellers still need to get a bit more realistic about price and buyers need to recognize a good bargain when they see it.

In general, most homes are on the market longer with discerning buyers waiting for the optimal home at the optimal price. A well-priced, well-presented home can still fetch multiple offers, but it’s got to look appealing to the savvy buyers who are doing their homework. There is no sense in overpricing a listing – a buyer won’t even give a home the time of day if they sense the seller is being unrealistic. Yet at the same time, there seems to be no better time to snatch up bargains in Colorado at all price points. We’re seeing five to 10 percent reductions in properties that are sitting on the market and in many cases the final offers are coming in below those reductions. That’s not to say buyers should throw out ridiculous numbers. Some sellers who don’t have to sell are holding firm, but time is running out for others. So, while it may take longer to get the buyer and seller to agree to terms, deals are happening and with open minds on both sides, we might start to see more positive movement for all.

For cash buyers or those with large (over 25%) down payments, now is a great time to pick up bargains in luxury homes. Sellers are still not giving away property but there are great deals available.

This week the National Association of Realtors released its monthly existing home sales report (http://www.realtor.org/press_room/news_releases/2009/08/strong_uptrend?LID=RONav0021) noting “For the first time in five years, existing-home sales have increased for four months in a row, according to the National Association of Realtors®.” The report went on to note, “Existing home sales – including single-family, townhomes, condominiums and co-ops – rose 7.2 percent to a seasonally adjusted rate of 5.24 million units in July from a level of 4.89 million in June, and are 5.0 percent above the 4.99 million-unit pace in July 2008. The last time sales rose for four consecutive months was in June 2004, and the last time sales were higher than a year earlier was November 2005.”

Lawrence Yun, NAR chief economist, said he was encouraged. “The housing market has decisively turned for the better. A combination of first-time buyers taking advantage of the housing stimulus tax credit and greatly improved affordability conditions are contributing to higher sales,” he said.

Ultimately these are all very positive signs for our market and are a strong sign that we are moving in the right direction towards a housing recovery. Having said that, it’s important to keep things in perspective and not celebrate too soon. We all need to be realistic with our pricing, buyers and sellers.

A few other interesting articles of note for the week:

· Home Prices On An Upswing In The Second Quarter Of 2009 According To The S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Indices; Case-Shiller
· New Home Sales Blast Past Expectations; CNNMoney.com
· The Housing Market: Has It Turned the Corner?; TIME Magazine
· Mortgage Applications Increase In Latest MBA Weekly Survey; Mortgage Bankers Association
· Home Market Shows Signs of Life as Declines Slow; Bloomberg

Now let’s take a look at this week in real estate:

Boulder/Longmont—The Boulder office reported new listings in the Boulder County market took a 3% dip last week and new sales fell by a substantial 19%. Despite that, showings were up 25% last week so there is still a tremendous amount of buyer activity. Agents at the Boulder office report a sharp rise in creative and complex offers over the past week with a number of buyers asking for things like some degree of owner carry, right of refusal or extremely delayed closings. Some offers on listings as low as 70% of the asking price have been seen as well. This, in an area where the average sale price to list price ratio averages 96% in the under $1,000,000 market. The Longmont office reported once again, the showing activity is increasing. This "week over week" the mid week are the ones that had the highest increase. Weekend showings were off just a bit. Buyers are seriously looking. The start of school usually brings a brief decline in showings and contracts. Not this year! Some of the good press about the Denver area is filtering to Longmont. Our employment situation here is holding steady. Colorado has become a more affordable place to live. More companies are realizing our affordability makes this a great place to relocate their business.

Evergreen/Conifer—No information reported.
Denver Central –We are seeing an increase in the higher priced homes going on the market and receiving offers, which is a positive sign. The Denver real estate market continues to get positive national and local press on a weekly basis. We've seen an increase in showings for August and our August 2009 numbers are outpacing August 2008. More buyers are taking advantage of the $8000 tax credit with the November 30th deadline approaching fast. We are also seeing appreciation of home prices in several neighborhoods. The lower end market has certainly shifted to s seller's market with properties moving quickly.

Devonshire— No information reported.

Douglas County—Our Southwest Metro office reports showings were down this past week especially over the weekend. Agents attribute this to school starting and last minute vacations. Open houses were very successful and we had two walk-ins. We are seeing sellers ready to list their properties in September and this is a good thing as inventory is low at this time. We're also seeing buyers wanting to take advantage of the $8000 tax break before it goes away. Our mortgage rep is very busy and this is always a good sign. Properties are still not moving quickly above the $350,000 level. We're encouraged with the local and national news about the real estate market.

El Paso County—Colorado Springs reports our listing inventory and sales activity have been steady for a while now. Showings went down slightly last week and we need to watch if this is a sign of reduced activity because the end of summer is approaching. It seems like banks are starting to approve more short sales as we were able to get some prepared for closing. Prices in most neighborhoods are stable for now.

Larimer County—The Fort Collins/Loveland offices reported she summer season has nearly passed us by, but that doesn't mean that real estate sales have come to a halt. There's still some good inventory available in the Northern Colorado market. Both buyers & sellers need to be realistic about price & be willing to negotiate terms and conditions in order to put a sale together. Home prices are stable & recently Freddie Mac & Fannie Mae declared all the markets in Colorado stable. This should loosen some of the restrictions on conventional loan financing for buyers. Finally, time is running out to take advantage of the $8000 tax credit. Only a little over 90 days left to take advantage of this great opportunity.

North Metro—The North Metro office is experiencing increased activity with regards to new contracts. This is due largely to the urgency created by the first time buyer tax credit program. In addition, listing inventory should be picking up as some of the terms in the office are in the process of closing on some larger opportunities. The Agents are doing a great job of staying in front of their clients and working every lead. This is reflected in the increased dividends as we move into the 4th quarter.

Parker—What an incredible increase in showing activity last week - almost double from the week before! Our sales activity has increased as well and the listing inventory is going down. We are confident that this trend will hold past the end of summer and start of most schools.

Southeast Metro—The SE Metro office is experiencing a slight decrease in showing activity which can be attributed to the start of the school year for the surrounding districts. Our average days on market for listings is steady at 79 days and we are averaging 25 showings before a property is selling. Inventory continues to drop and there continues to be a shortage of desirable properties below $250,000. Luxury properties are seeing additional traffic as 10% of our Previews properties are currently under contract.

West Lakewood—The West Lakewood office is reporting "skinny" inventory by all price points. Buyers have more clarification and realize that the inventory is more limited than it has been. The reduction of inventory is making buyers more focused on their choices.

Please note that next week I will be taking a brief hiatus from Weekly Market Watch but I will return the following week.

Until then,
Make it a good one,

Chris Mygatt
Coldwell Banker Residential Brokerage Colorado

Thursday, August 20, 2009
Good News On Wall Street Doesn’t (Necessarily) Mean Higher Housing Prices on Main Street

I had an interesting chat with one of our Agents recently. She mentioned that many of our sellers in the upper-tier price point are seeing the current strength of the Dow as a sign that their home will probably fetch more in the early part of next year. Academically speaking, there is a belief that there is a direct correlation between the housing market and the stock market. But from an analytical standpoint, although the stock market and the housing market correlate well, there is a variable time lag. The time lag between housing underperformance and stock market performance can vary widely. The average is 18 months.

What we’re seeing, in some instances, is that some of the upper-tier clients are saying no to potential deals as they think if they wait another four to six months (thanks to the stock market’s recent gains) they may get more for their home. And while I understand the reasoning, I would caution sellers on this strategy. First, what we know is that in a “normal” market (of which this market is anything but), the average lag time between the two is 18 months (not four to six months). It’s also important to point out that we probably aren’t out of the woods as it relates to the volatility in the stock market. Many analysts are suggesting that our recovery will be “W” shaped rather than “V” so we may be looking at more changes ahead.

So while I understand the logic, I would caution sellers on this strategy and would ask them to focus less on the stock market and more on the level of supply and demand in their market and in their neighborhoods. In most markets, the upper-tier price point remains relatively soft so sellers should consider most deals that are presented to them. That’s not to say buyers should be throwing out unrealistic offers. The real story here is that across the board we’re starting to see increases in interest and buyer activity so sellers may want to consider taking advantage of that interest…before it’s too late.

For those who are focused on the stock market, my best advice to you is to look at it more as an indicator for the economy as a whole. With the DOW closing Thursday at just over 9,300, it may not be making housing prices go up, but it may mean that the recession is subsiding which is good news for us all.

Now let’s take a look at this week in real estate:

Boulder/Longmont—The Boulder office reported small but steady increases in all the Boulder county market numbers last week. Listings were up by 12%, under contracts up by 17% (not bad) and showings up by 15%. Two good things to note here, although showings are up, under contracts are up by a higher number. Agents are also seeing no "end of summer" drop off of buyers yet. It's very unusual to see showings increasing as we approach September. The Longmont office reports showing activity continues to increase. The large increase in showing activity did translate into deals being written. Twice as many offers were accepted this week over last week. Listings also took a big rise. We are seeing some good listings going on the market that are not short sales or foreclosures. The upper end market still needs help. The $8000 credit for 1st time buyers needs to have a matching program for the upper end market to get it moving too. Loan issues continue to bring problems. We need at least 30 days to make it happen - 45 days to close is much more realistic for all.

Evergreen/Conifer—Evergreen reported we had a total of two new listings for the week. Three listings went under contract including one builder spec. One local buyer, one from Denver and one Texas. Three buyers went under contract, two local one one from Oregon. Three were a total of 81 showings during the week. The week was close to normal level for peak season. The majority of activity in three different price points - $200,000 to $250,000 for 1st time buyers and investors. The $300,000 to $500,000 is strong and recent strong activity in the $500,000 to $1,000,000 range. Conifer reports we had two new listings during the week. One listing went under contract - short sale pending bank approval. Showing activity increased to thirty-three during the week although that's still below normal levels for this time of year.

Denver Central – We are seeing an increase in higher priced homes going on the market and receiving offers which is a positive sign. The Denver real estate market continues to get positive national and local press each week. We're encouraged and excited about the future of real estate in Denver. We've seen an increase in showings the first two weeks of August and it's tracking better than July for showings. Our August 2009 numbers are outpacing those of last year. More buyers are taking advantage of the $8000 tax credit with the deadline fast approaching. We're seeing appreciation of home prices in several neighborhoods. The lower-end market has certainly shifted to s sellers market with properties moving quickly. Those that are priced aggressively are seeing multiple offer situations. We're also seeing an increase in cash offers on homes in the area. Many in the lower end go under contract within days of being placed on the market. The high-end market continues to be sluggish.

Devonshire— We seem to be in the August "hurry and take a family vacation" or "get ready for school" days. Showing activity is steady but both sellers and buyers are distracted with other activities. We are encouraging reevaluation of home prices, making price adjustments as necessary & freshening up both the interior & exterior of homes. September is always a good month for us at Devonshire as our clients are ready to move forward with purchases so they can be settled before the holidays. Mortgage rates are still attractive and consumer confidence seems to be sending somewhat of a positive message. We are feeling very positive about the remainder of 2009 and look forward to 2010.

Douglas County—Our Southwest Metro office reports we had a great week of showings. Open houses were very good this past week and we're seeing a steady increase of sellers ready to list their homes. Buyers, especially first time ones are looking to buy but the inventory is very low in the $250,000 range. There has been steady activity in homes priced below $350,000. We're experiencing a slight increase in the $350,000 to $450,000 range. We feel as an office that the public is ready to move forward to either purchase or sell a home. The Agents are getting the message to their clients/sphere that the $8000 tax credit needs to be used before December 1, 2009. The news on local TV channels has been positive and this has been a good tool to use on sellers & buyers.

El Paso County—Colorado Springs reports although sales activity has slowed down slightly, we still see a lot of activity on our listings which is also reflected by the strong increase in showings. There is some uncertainty about some military personal relocating from Texas to Ft. Carson. This relocation has been approved but now delayed after intervention from politicians in Texas.

Larimer County—The Fort Collins/Loveland offices reported the end of summer lull is here and families are getting the kids ready for school and the college students are rolling in from a nice summer break. Showings were down dramatically last week and this is to be expected based on the time of year. The good news is that there are still plenty of great homes to choose from and well priced homes are moving. Ft. Collins currently has over 1500 single family homes and Loveland offers 1000 plus homes. Come out and see the inventory. You won't be disappointed. It's hard to believe but we only have about 3 1/2 months left to take advantage of the $8000 tax credit. It is unclear whether or not this program will be extended so take advantage of it while you can!

North Metro—The North Metro office is humming with activity. We just received a letter from Bruce Zipf, President & CEO of NRT, that our office is in the Top 20% of offices for the 2nd quarter of this year. The Agents deserve this recognition as their activity continues to be very high. In the past month we've seen the price of our new listings increase from $275,000 to a current average of $325,000. Showings are picking up on homes priced over $250,000. We've put several homes under contract in the $400,000 to $650,000 range which is a recent change in our market.

Parker—Our listing inventory stays steady and although the showing activity has dropped slightly over the last week, sales activity has gone up consistently over the last few months. Our closed transactions were up over 50% last month year over year and we are up 15% year to date compared to last year. Douglas County was just rated #5 in the country for job growth and the towns of Parker and Castle Rock are #3 & #4 in most desirable places to live!

Southeast Metro—The SE Metro office is experiencing a slight decrease in showing activity which can be attributed to the start of the school year for the surrounding districts. Our average days on market for listings is steady at 79 days and we are averaging 25 showings before a property goes under contract. Inventory continues to drop and there continues to be a shortage of desirable properties below $250,000. Luxury properties are seeing additional traffic as 10% of our Previews properties are currently under contract.

West Lakewood—The West office is seeing more sales in the over $300,000 price range. Low appraisals are becoming less of a problem. If a buyer wants to take advantage of the $8,000 tax credit, they should act now! Do not wait! There is a shortage of inventory in these price ranges.

Until next week,

Chris Mygatt
Coldwell Banker Residential Brokerage Colorado

Thursday, July 30, 2009
It Was a Week of Good News for Real Estate

I have to say, it was a positive week for our industry. It seemed everywhere you looked, the media was reporting on some sort of positive indicator relating to the real estate market rebound. Last week I posed the question, is it a blip on the screen or are we finally out of the woods. It seems this week, the answer to the question is much clearer.

For starters, Good Morning America ran a very good interview on Tuesday about the state of the housing market. Liz Ann Sanders, the Chief Investment Strategist for Charles Schwab was interviewed. Essentially what she said was that we are in the process of bottoming out and “you have to go through less bad on your way to good.” As I’ve said in my weekly updates, we’re seeing pockets of significant strength and the housing market is really showing signs of recovery.

Our industry was the first to be hit by the market downturn and if all continues on this path, we will be the first out.

Now if I’ve said it once, I’ve said it a million times. The turnaround won’t be happening overnight. We probably won’t see housing numbers start to appreciate anytime soon. But what we can relish in is Sanders’ conservative viewpoint that “we have to see less bad for a while before we start to see some real positive gains.” What we have right now is the bottoming out of our market. Speculators and investors are competing with first time home buyers. Those individuals are going to continue to gobble up the inventory—both REOs and regular, now much more affordable starter homes. As we see this inventory deteriorate (again, over time), we will continue to see that trickle into our mid-level and upper-end price ranges.

Also interesting to note this week was the Standard & Poor’s/Case-Schiller 20-city index was released and in it, home prices in May posted their first monthly increase since the summer of 2006. Prices rose from April in 13 of the metro areas tracked, notably Cleveland, Dallas, Boston and the Bay Area.

The news followed reports showing sales of newly built and existing homes rose in June for the third consecutive month. New home construction, though still weak, is the best it’s been since the fall.

Although the index is rising nationally and locally, I would caution that this doesn’t necessarily apply to homes across the board. For the most part, the local gains are reflected more in the low-end side of the market, though we are showing signs of improvement in the mid and upper end.

The 20-city home price index rose 0.5 percent from April to a reading of 139.8, but it was still 17.1 percent below the reading of 168.6 in May a year ago. It was the fourth consecutive month that the index indicated prices have turned the corner and are heading back toward positive territory.

And with that news in tow, let’s take a look at this week in real estate:

Boulder/Longmont—The Boulder County market showed a marked decrease in properties under contract, down by over 26%. At the same time, showings increased by 16%. Listings countywide remained steady again, not varying by more than three per week over the past month. Agents report more and more first time buyers determined to get bargains in the short sale and foreclosure markets. Many understand that there is fierce competition for the better properties and are willing to try multiple times until they are able to get a property under contract. Longmont reports the word "normal" has many definitions these days. Normal means that interest rates are holding for a while..Normal means that buyers want to buy. Normal means that 15% of all deals written will not close. Normal means that 30% of all deals written are for short sales whose acceptance can be as long as 2-4 months out. Normal means that the appraiser will not appraise that property for the contract price. Normal means the loan process is like negotiating a mine field with last minute conditions added to the buyer. The real estate industry is doing its part for the recovery of our economy handling all the NORMAL issues and getting buyers into homes quickly.

Evergreen/Conifer—Four listings went under contract during the past week. Showing activity continues to be strong with heavy activity in the $300,000 to $400,000 range. In addition, showing activity in the $1,000,000 plus category is experiencing an increase over prior months. Conifer reports we had one new listing during the week totaling $550,000. Two of our listings went under contract one of which was a single family home in Bailey on 40 acres with S. Platte river access. Two buyers put under contract for a townhome in Evergreen and a patio home in Denver . Showing activity decreased to thirty-five during the week.

Denver Central—No information reported.

Devonshire—We're hoping that the activity this past week is an indication of things to come as we continue through the summer. It seems that buyers are out there looking at homes, making buying decisions and getting settled in their new homes. Although appraisals are still an issue, transactions are getting done. Sellers are now getting off the fence, staging their homes and getting them on the market. We're seeing some movement in the upper end - a good sign. It is still all about the price on houses and we have seen many price adjustments in the market-many of those houses are getting both activity and offers. Once again, we are feeling positive and looking forward to a very busy August.

Douglas County—Our Southwest Metro office reports showing activity has increased since the 4th. We are hearing success stories from floor as well as open houses. Lead Router has been very good this past week. We are seeing increased activity in the homes priced below $400,000. There are still a lot of first time home buyers looking for "the deal.” The short sales seem to be taking as long as 90 or more days to close and some listings are seeking short sale approval. We are hearing from buyers that they are waiting for the new crop of foreclosures that are coming in August/September.

El Paso County—Colorado Springs reports sales activity has increased over the last week and the amount of new listings was steady which will help reduce the listing inventory that has built up in July. Not only are we expecting a number of bank owned properties to be released into the market within the next weeks, we also expect more short sales to be approved by the banks starting this fall.

Larimer County—Our Fort Collins/Loveland office reports our market looks flat, not down, not up, we are flat. One area of increase has been our listings taken. We had a huge week last week and brought twenty-eight new listings to the market. This was the largest bump we've seen in one week since early June. Interest rates are still low and homes priced below $350,000 are moving. Buyers at the lower price points are competing hard for short sale & bank owned properties. Some homes that were under contract via short sale are back on the market because it is taking longer and longer due to backups at the banks. Keep in mind that today's buyers are highly educated on the market & well priced homes sell quickly, usually for the most money the market will bear. This is why you are seeing so many competing offers on homes. Buyers know a good deal when they see it.

North Metro—No information reported.

Parker— Activity is slowing down slightly. We have to see if this is already the trend towards the end of the summer or if we will experience another surge towards the end of August. The REO Agents are waiting anxiously for the lift of the moratorium and the release of many bank owned listings.
Southeast Metro—The SE Metro office hosted a very successful Open House Blitz last weekend. We advertised 60 Open Houses in both the Denver Post and on several online sites. Traffic through the open houses was strong and we even put some deals together. The general consensus is that there are lots of buyers out there not only looking to purchase a home but who are not being represented by a Realtor. Our office is set to close 200 transactions this month & our listing inventory continues to decrease.

West Lakewood—Our Agents are busy listing and showing properties. Consumer confidence has most definitely increased. Our first time home buyers now have somewhat a sense of urgency to purchase and close to be eligible for the $8000 tax credit and to get under contract without multiple offers on any property that is somewhat acceptable.

This week I’ll leave you with a few interesting articles from the week:

http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/quote?ticker=SPCS20%3AIND
http://sbk.online.wsj.com/article/SB124878477560186517.html
http://www.usatoday.com/money/economy/housing/2009-07-28-home-prices_N.htm

Until next week,
Make it a great one,

Chris Mygatt
Coldwell Banker Residential Brokerage Colorado

Thursday, July 23, 2009
Existing Home Sales Up For Third Straight Month...The Question of the Day: Have We Bottomed Out?

Some are calling it the sign that we have hit bottom and are on our way back up. Others are calling it a blip on the screen. Whatever your take, NAR released Thursday its existing home sales report which showed three key, positive indicators regarding the housing sector:

For the third consecutive month, existing home sales rose
Inventory is easing
Home prices declined less sharply in June
The report noted, “Existing home sales…increased 3.6 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 4.89 million units in June from a downwardly revised pace of 4.72 million in May, but are 0.2 percent lower than the 4.9 million-unit level in June 2008.

The report also revealed, “Total housing inventory at the end of June fell 0.7 percent to 3.82 million existing homes available for sale, which represents a 9.4 month supply at the current sales pace, down from a 9.8 month supply in May. Raw inventory totals are 14.9 percent below a year ago.”

The Wall Street Journal reported Thursday a look at 28 major real estate markets and where they are headed. The results (http://online.wsj.com/public/resources/documents/retro-HAGERTY.html) were interesting for Denver:

A 19.6% decline in housing inventory (from a year ago)
We are currently at a 6.1 month supply
We’ve seen an 8.3% drop in price since the peak
Also interesting to note this week is the fact that Denver was named the No. 1 city where Americans are relocating, according to Forbes.com (http://www.forbes.com/2009/03/30/americans-moving-cities-lifestyle-real-estate-relocating.html?partner=email).

Among the highlights of the story:

Population increased by 2.17% in 2008; it increased 2.09% in 2007
Denver was the 10th fastest growing metro area in the United States
Denver is the most popular city in America; people like it for its skiing, culture and vibrant nightlife as well as its business opportunities
As of January 2009, the metro area’s unemployment rate was 6.5%; that’s high but still two percentage points below the national average of 8.5% for the same month
What all of this leads us to believe is despite some of the challenges we continue to face nationally and globally, the domestic housing market continues to demonstrate signs of recovery. The temporary first-time home buyer tax credit is clearly helping people make a decision and is contributing to the overall stimulus impact.

Are we out of the woods yet? It’s tough to say but the signs are encouraging and three months of continued increases in home sales are a positive sign that we may be on the road to recovery.

And with that news in tow, let’s take a look at this week in real estate:

Boulder/Longmont—The Boulder County market showed an increase in properties under contract of about 15% last week, the first significant move in several weeks. New listings were exactly the same as the week before. Centralized showings reports a steady, upward trend in showings over the past month, averaging about a 10% increase each week. Agents continue to report frustration with short sales. Our Agents are all on the same page, but other brokerages have either different policies or no policies about how short sales should be accomplished. Longmont reports the Boulder County Fair is coming to town and the fairground is located in Longmont, so no excuses about attending! It is a community event and it brings people and revenue to Longmont. Showings were up 14% week over week. Sales and listings are holding steady. The lending process is still quirky at best. Patience is still needed by all for most every transaction. Clean, well priced homes are selling. Buyers with good credit and some money for a down payment are buying. Good Agents are keeping their deals together with some very trying times for all parties. We are still seeing homes under $250,000 moving quickly.

Evergreen/Conifer—We had two new listings during the week totaling $772,000. Three listings went under contract of which one was bank owned and we had six offers. Two buyers put under contract including one out-of-state buyer from Texas. Our showings increased to fifty one during the week.

Denver Central—The Denver real estate market continues to get positive national and local press. We continue to have substantial drops in housing inventory in the Denver area and we have seen an increase in the number of existing homes sold. This could indicate that the market has bottomed out and is very encouraging for the future of real estate in Denver. We have had an average 71 days on the market for listings that have gone under contract in July. The lower-end market has certainly shifted to a seller's market with properties moving quickly. Properties that are priced aggressively are seeing multiple offer situations. We had a couple of listings this past week below $200,000 that received 10 plus offers and went under contract for way above list price. Many properties in the lower end go under contract within days of being put on the market. The high end market continues to be tough and we are not seeing as much activity.

Devonshire—Happy Summer! It is truly a busy market here at Devonshire. Our homes are getting more showings and the homes that are going under contract are the ones that show picture perfect. We are encouraging sellers with "tired" plants to refresh them with new ones so that they have welcoming curb appeal. Buyers are seeing homes go under contract that they would have liked so there is more motivation to get moving. With the school year approaching, buyers & sellers want to get settled in their new homes soon. It is still an issue getting some houses appraised so correct pricing is essential. This type of market makes it especially important for the consumer to deal with experienced professionals in both the real estate and mortage sectors. We are looking forward to an even better August.

Douglas County—Showings were great this past week and very, very good this past weekend. We had two Agents convert floor calls to buyers. Our lead router Agents are receiving great activity and they are pleased. We are seeing sellers pricing their homes more aggressively in this market and as a result these listings are moving quickly. We are still seeing more activity in the $300,000 and below properties. Open houses were good this past weekend. Several Agents reported that they were able to obtain good leads. Our mortgage rep is busy and that is always a good sign.

El Paso County—We are anticipating the return of a number of troops to Fort Carson. Although we don't yet know the impact on the demand level yet, this certainly should boost sales later in the year. We are still receiving multiple offers on power priced listings in the lower price range (up to $150,000). About 66% of all listings are either short sales or foreclosures!

Larimer County—Our Fort Collins/Loveland office reports showings have been slowing the last week, but inventory is starting to build again. Several competing offer situations have been reported as well priced, clean and ready to move homes are selling. We are seeing movement at the lower price point as jumbo loan interest rates are still higher than conventional. This is likely the reason we are seeing home sales at the lower price bands moving as buyers can take advantage of the lower interest rates. CB Home Loan FHA rates are still the best in town.

North Metro—The average sales price is around $250,000. We continue to see multiple offers on lower priced homes. Inventory in the $200,000 and under market is shrinking and going under contract quickly. Homes listed for over $350,000 have shown a slight reduction in showings in the past few weeks. Our Agents continue to report great turn outs at their Open Houses.

Parker—After a short slowdown last week, activities have increased on all levels again. We still see a high number of buyers losing properties because of multiple offers as well as multiple offers on our power priced listings. Since the government is trying to implement a new loan structure on Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac loans, and holding back on releasing many bank owned properties into the market for now, we are anticipating a high number of new bank owned listings by the end of August or early September. Sellers are advised to put their homes on the market aggressively very soon in order to avoid competition with bank owned listings.

Southeast Metro—The SE Metro office is experiencing a steady increase in properties going under contract within the first couple of weeks on the market. We are averaging six showings during the 1st week on all new listings. This weekend, we are hosting an open house blitz with Agents holding over 60 houses open between Saturday and Sunday. All open houses are being advertised in the Denver Post and all Internet sites! Stay tuned for the exciting results of our Open House Blitz.

West Lakewood—No information reported.

This week I’ll end with a few words of wisdom to our clients:

Pricing and presentation is vital in today’s market. Buyers are paying attention to new inventory and current price reductions so if you want your home to remain competitive in today’s market, you need to consider this fact. I urge you not to test the waters when you place your home on the market. You will prevail if you price your home competitively from the beginning and present it in its best light possible. Listen to your Agent! Once you do this, great opportunities abound.

Until next week,

Chris Mygatt
Coldwell Banker Residential Brokerage Colorado

Friday, July 17, 2009
Louisville, Colorado Named CNNMoney.com’s Best Places to Live

And Superior wasn’t too far behind…

Well not to brag, but we all know Colorado is an amazing place to live. Our sports. Our activities. Our beautiful scenery. Our thriving economy. Tourism. It’s rare that you find such a remarkable combination but once again, Colorado is making its place on the national map.

Earlier this week, CNNMoney.com released its top 100 list of best places to live and topping the list in the number one position was Louisville, Colorado. Check out this link: http://money.cnn.com/magazines/moneymag/bplive/2009/snapshots/PL0846355.html. The article reported, “It's also weathering the economic downturn well. Robust industries in the area, such as high tech, energy, and health care, make county unemployment among the lowest in the state.”

Superior, Colorado wasn’t too far behind in the number 13 position. Check out this link: http://money.cnn.com/magazines/moneymag/bplive/2009/snapshots/PL0875640.html.

Also interesting to note this week if a Realty Times article which provided some insight into a rebounding market. Here are the highlights:

Pending home sales rose sharply, by nearly 7 percent, in the last month measured by the National Association of Realtors.
Pending sales were up in all four major regions of the country—and that caught the attention of some key industry economists.
Orawin Velz, economic forecaster for the Mortgage Bankers Association, said in a commentary that "the steady improvements in pending home sales are encouraging," and confirm the view that existing home sales hit their cyclical bottom in January and are likely to continue to rise in the coming months.
Since the January low point, she noted, the Realtors' pending sale index is up by 13 percent.
Mortgage rates continue to be favorable, an average of 5.3 percent last week for 30 year fixed rate loans, 4. 8 percent for 15 year fixed, and those rates are pulling in growing numbers of home purchase loan applications.
According to the Mortgage Bankers Association's weekly survey, new applications to buy houses increased by nearly 7 percent in the week ending July 3rd.
Now let’s take a look at this week in real estate:

Boulder/Longmont—Our Boulder office reports new listings took a jump of over 20% in the Boulder county market last week. Sales have been very steady for several weeks, seldom varying by more than 2% for the entire Boulder market. Agents continue to report that the ongoing problem of late and inaccurate appraisals continues to cause headaches. Showing activity on our office listings picked up by more than 10% last week. Longmont reports Colorado looks beautiful and green right now. Some neighborhoods are experiencing a seller’s market. Appraisers are having a hard time keeping up with the prices that are offered. Bidding situations are happening. The loan process is not for the faint of heart. Underwriters are asking for lots of supporting documentation and they are asking for it more than once. Patience is being tested at every turn. The benefit is that most buyers are getting some wonderful homes at great prices. Agents are working harder than ever for their buyers and sellers. Good Agents are keeping the deals together with some very trying times for all parties. We are still seeing homes under $250,000 move quickly.

Evergreen/Conifer—No information reported.

Denver Central—No information reported.

Devonshire— As we move into the heat of the summer, we also see the real estate market heating up and moving. There is still lots of activity in the price point below $400,000 with multiple offers more common than ever. While open houses seemed a little slow last weekend, buyer activity is still good. With July family vacations and people out of town, the open house slowdown was predictable. Finally, we are seeing the upper end market moving. Sellers are getting their homes on the market & we are seeing offers coming in on those houses. Price is crucial, as well as staging, in order to get top dollar in this market.

Douglas County—Our Southwest Metro office reported showings were up but not as good as the weekend before the 4th. We are seeing more listings and many more buyer contracts. Open houses were good this past week. We had several Agents who had picked up potential listings and buyers from their open houses. We had great floor last week. We are seeing activity in the homes priced below $300,000. We had over five listings that went under contract within 2-3 days.

El Paso County—No information reported.

Larimer County—Our Fort Collins/Loveland office reports showings and under contracts are strong. Well priced inventory is moving very quickly and even the condo market is picking up steadily. We are still seeing issues with appraisals and underwriting is taking a significant amount of time to review buyer's credit history and clear loan conditions. The Northern Colorado real estate market is relatively strong in comparison to much of the state. Larimer County in particular is fairing better than surrounding counties. It is still a great time to buy & I really don't think we will be in the doom and gloom for much longer. We're already seeing signs of life in the Northern Colorado market and it is only a matter of time until those buyers sitting on the fence will be kicking themselves for not making a move in what was a declining market.

North Metro—No information reported.

Parker—We have seen a positive trend this week as our listings continue to increase. Our showings and sales were down this week due in part to the beautiful weather we have been enjoying. We are increasing our market share & our agents are picking up many new buyers. With the interest rates low and inventory increasing, we expect to see our sales increase throughout the remainder of July.

Southeast Metro—No information reported.

West Lakewood—Short sales are becoming more streamlined and we continue to have multiple offer situations on bank owned properties. We are hearing back from banks more expeditiously. It seems that sellers are listening to their Agents. They are becoming more realistic and are often adjusting their listing price.
Regardless of the market or the reason behind the recent upswing, things are starting to pick up throughout Colorado. It seems buyers are finally starting to get the message that we may have hit bottom and, as buyers take action, we’re slowly but surely working our way into a transitioning market.

It’s been a challenging ride but what we have to look forward to is exciting. Prepare. The coming months and into 2010 are going to be an exciting ride.

Make it a great week,

Chris Mygatt
Coldwell Banker Residential Brokerage Colorado

Denver Named One of the Best Places to Buy a Home…Now!

Forbes Magazine released this week its “In Depth: Best Cities to Buy a Home” feature in which the magazine highlights cities with the best real estate deals. Click here to access the article: http://www.forbes.com/2009/06/22/cities-deals-home-lifestyle-real-estate-home-buying.html. Among other large cities, Denver was listed with the magazine noting that “While the majority of the nation’s housing markets are still working toward a bottom, some cities are boasting fundamentals that make them good places to buy a home now.” In addition to Denver, Los Angeles, Boston, Phoenix and San Diego were listed.

To determine which cities feature the best real estate deals, the magazine “looked at three sets of data in the March 2009 RPX Monthly Housing Market Report, distributed by Radar Logic Incorporated, a New York-based derivatives firm. It looks at the market fundamentals in the country’s 25 most populated metropolitan statistical areas (MSAs or metros), geographic entities defined by the U.S. Office of Management and Budget used by federal agencies in collecting, tabulating and publishing federal statistics. First, we examined the number of ZIP codes with 25% of the area's sales to determine those in which activity is most evenly distributed. Next, we examined increase and decrease in price per square footage to determine where market value is the highest. Last, we looked at transaction rates in each city to determine where the housing markets are most active. We scored each city by category, and then combined the scores to determine the final ranking.”

Here’s what the article reported:

“1. Denver, Colo.
PPSF Increase or Decrease
March 2009 vs. Feb. 2009: 5.7%
Transaction Increase or Decrease
March 2009 vs. March 2008: -8.4%
Percentage of ZIP Codes with 25% of Sales: 25%”

Also this week, the National Association of Realtors released its existing home sales report which noted that existing home sales rose for the second straight month in May, signaling low prices and incentives are attracting buyers.

NAR says existing home sales, including single family homes, condos and coops rose 2.4 percent in May. It was the first back-to-back monthly gain in existing home sales since September 2005.

Sales of existing homes rose for the second straight month in May, signaling low prices and incentives are attracting buyers.
NAR chief economist Lawrence Yun had this to say, “Historically low mortgage rates clearly drew buyers into the market, and housing remains very affordable even with a recent uptick in rates. First time buyers are also being drawn off the sidelines by the $8,000 tax credit which is helping to absorb inventory.”

The numbers could be even better if it weren’t for poor appraisals. While pending sales of existing homes—those with signed contracts but not closed—indicate stronger activity, some contracts are falling through from faulty valuations that keep buyers from getting a loan, said Yun.

Locally we made some great headlines this week, especially with the Denver Business Journal’s story headlined “Home prices in mountain states up 1.3% outpacing nation.”

The article reported, “Housing prices in Colorado and other mountain states rose 1.3 percent in April from the previous month, the biggest increase of any region of the nation, the Federal Housing Finance Agency reported Tuesday.”

And with that great news in tow, let’s take a look at this week in real estate:

Boulder/Longmont—The Boulder/Broomfield county markets continue to show a drop in new listings, with numbers down about 20% from the week before. Sales, however have shown a slight increase this week, about 2%. A quick check of price reductions in the area show 572 so far this month in Broomfield and Boulder counties! Expired listings only totaled 47 and that includes the last day of May. Great new stats for our side: If you sold a house under $750,000 with CBRB in Boulder county this year compared to the rest of the MLS, you averaged 13 fewer days before contract and $7989 more in your pocket! Our Longmont office reports buyers seem to be confused these days. Some are waiting for interest rates to drop and some are waiting for prices to drop. News that the housing market is local seems to be getting out but it might be adding to the overall confusion in the market. First time buyers are the main thrust of our sales. We have had some higher priced homes sell but homes under $250,000 are still selling fast. Now is a great time to get into the investor market. Investors are not looking to "flip" the homes but are looking for the longer term. The rental market is strong in Longmont. Summer weather has finally arrived, making it pleasant to show homes in the evenings.

Evergreen/Conifer—Our Evergreen office reported we had a total of five new listings for the week. Seven listings went under contract and one buyer went under contract. There was one multiple offer situation for a $208,000 SFH in Wheat Ridge. One listing went under contract in five days after only two showings, a $425,000 SFH in Evergreen. We had a total of 81 showings during the week which is close to normal level for peak season. The majority of activity occurred in three different price points, $200,000 to $250,000 (mostly first time buyers and investors), $300,000 to $350,000 and some recent strong activity in the $500,000 to $750,000 range. Our Conifer office reports we had four listings go under contract during the week, one of which was a bank REO. One buyer went under contract during the week. There were a total of 42 showings for the week and activity continues to improve.

Denver Central—Housing inventory continues to drop in the Denver area and for the fourth consecutive month homes sold in the metro area went for less than $200,000 and 28% were in the $200,000 to $300,000 range with those under $200,00 selling very quickly.

Devonshire—Showings have been very consistent this week. There is a definite feeling of increased activity and lots of contracts being written and accepted. Appraisal issues are still rampant, with multiple appraisals being asked for at the last minute before closing. We are advising Agents to write contracts with 45 day closings where possible to allow for a smooth transaction. Buyers are excited to get into their new homes and open houses are busy in many areas. Activity may slow down a bit with the 4th of July upon us.

Douglas County—Our Southwest Metro office reports we had another week of great showings. Father's Day was our only slow day. We had six properties with multiple contracts and our Agents are finding they are competing with multiple offers on properties they are writing on for their buyers. Open houses were slow this past weekend however floor was very good. Two Agents picked up buyers from their floor calls. We are still seeing very good activity on homes priced under $350,000. We have lots of buyers wanting to take advantage of the $8000.00 tax credit and I believe that the interest rates going up has also helped get buyers off the fence.

El Paso County—No information reported.

Larimer County—Our Fort Collins/Loveland office reports things are looking good in the Northern Colorado real estate market. We are seeing homes moving pretty quickly that are priced at market and multiple offers on short sale and bank owned properties that are priced 5-10% below market. Summer began on Sunday and inventory has increased this week as the summer selling season starts to collect steam. First time home buyers are still the primary home shoppers in the market and are gobbling up the lower priced inventory in search of the American dream. Appraisals are still an issue as Agents, lenders and appraisers learn to work together within the confines of the HVCC. It is still an amazing time to buy and interest rates are still near the lowest they've been in the last 50 years.

North Metro—Activity abounds in the North Metro area. We have put 53 homes on the market this month so far. Average days on market is less than 60 when the property is well priced. The average sales price is around $273,000. The upper end market (million plus) continues to show slow movement unless the home is located in a new build subdivision. Numerous floor calls are coming into the office on our listings and appointments from these calls are increasing. We're beginning to experience buyer calls on floor looking for homes in the $600,000+ range. Relocation buyers are also abundant & increasing in our area. We continue to see a lot of short sale situations.

Parker—After two very busy weeks, activity has slowed down slightly. The listing inventory specifically in the lower to mid price range keeps decreasing steadily which indicates that the trend for declining values could reverse soon. The upper end market (above $600,000) is still very slow and it will take a while to recover. Agents are very busy staying in touch and keeping clients informed about current market conditions while their business is up year over year!

Southeast Metro—Traffic continues to increase at our listings. Multiple offer situations are almost a guaranteed with properties priced below $250,000. Luxury properties are also seeing increased traffic and we currently have nine luxury homes under contract. Our success story of the week: One of our Agents had a listing for three years that went under contract and closed in June!

West Lakewood—Numerous sales are having appraisal problems. Closed short sales and bank owned properties are affecting the appraised prices. We are seeing increased activity in the above $400,000 price range.
One potential challenge that may begin affecting our market is the rise in interest rates.

I came across this CNNMoney.com article which explains why interest rates are on the rise: http://money.cnn.com/2009/06/19/news/economy/higher_inflation.fortune/index.htm. At this point, what we are seeing is the recent uptick is causing many fence sitting buyers to get off the fence and get in the market and in all likelihood that is a very good idea. We probably won’t see interest rates as low as they have been for at least another 20-30 years.

I also recently sat down with our friends at Coldwell Banker Mortgage to discuss interest rates, the future and what we can expect and based on that conversation, I will be focusing my July edition of Reality Check on this very subject.

Watch for it after the 4th of July holiday.

Until then, make it a great week.

Chris Mygatt
Coldwell Banker Residential Brokerage Colorado